When Gartner insinuated that Microsoft was doomed, you heard the loudest sound from a mass of penguins since the release of Happy Feet (had to plug that movie since my step-brother did the motion capture for it, as well as Lord of the Rings, Polar Express, and other great films). The death of Windows has been greatly predicted, and equally exaggerated, but nothing lives forever and Microsoft may well accelerate necrosis with Vista (does anyone like Vista?). Bill Gates abandoned ship with suspiciously good timing ... after all, rats are the first to jump a sinking ship.
Gartner's maintains that Microsoft has not listened to the market. This is not news per se. Microsoft has always worn a hearing aid, and often it needs to be rebooted. Vista may be the terminal manifestation of this malady. Vista provides nothing of significant new value while crippling system performance and breaking certain peripherals. Giving up a little performance might be acceptable when si! gnificant new functionality is part of the bargain. But what Vista doesn't giveth, Vista does taketh away while smiting your peripherals.
The timing for Vista's vultures could not be worse. Competition is perpetual, a lesson that Microsoft has unlearned. Vista and its nothing-for-something value proposition arrives while Linux continues its accent. Linux is becoming ever more user friendly while maintaining ruthless internal efficiency. Since Linux can be had for zilch (providing you bootstrap your own support), it provides unbeatable value.
Especially in comparison to Vista.
Gartner gurus also note that Vista carries decades of legacy code in a highly non-modular package. Thus any change in core or subsidiary functionality is difficult and time consuming, as witnessed by the five years it took to give whelp the product. New millenium markets move much faster, and both Mac and Linux OSs - being new, UNIX based, and highly modular - will evolve faster than! Windows can hope to.
Windows may be the new CPM.
! Microsof t's tin ear continues to be their downfall. Many customers, especially corporate types, want to stay on XP. Yet Microsoft has announced that after June this will not be possible - no OEM or shrink-wrapped copies of XP will be permitted. In other words the market has spoken and Balmer said "tough."
Back home we call that "stupid."
However, Linux may not be the scariest of Balmer's nightmares. Commoditized broadband has given birth to competition from Software as a Service (SaaS). The pit bull of SaaS is SalesForce.com, who from the start said their goal was to eliminate software as we know it. Google started pecking at Microsoft's highly profitable application suite by giving away word! processors, spreadsheets, shared calendars and other goodies (or should we call these Googlies).
Now SalesForce and Google are tag-teaming Microsoft while Gates skates away across his lake of greenbacks.
SalesForce CRM data can now be called from Google applications. This is the first and best integration of significant and popular independent SaaS offerings, and one that adds real functionalist. Small companies who have grown dependant upon SalesForce, and would like to dump Microsoft, now have a means for doing so while adding new capabilities.
That's a good value proposition, unlike Vista's inverse value prop.
Recall what I said at the top of this missive about Vista delivering nothing new or valuable. SalesForce and Google are, and attacking Microsoft's strengths in one bre! ath.
Rumor's of Windows death may be exaggerated ... or ! they may have been a tiny bit premature.
Guy Smith is the chief consultant for Silicon Strategies Marketing. Guy brings a combination of technical, managerial and marketing experience to Silicon Strategies projects. Directly and as a consultant, Guy has worked with a variety of technology-producing organizations. A partial list of these technology firms include ORBiT Group (high-availability backup software), Telamon (wireless middleware), Wink Communications (interactive television), LogMeIn (remote desktop), FundNET (SaaS), Open-Xchange (groupware), VA Software (enterprise software), Virtual Iron (server virtualization), SUSE (Linux distributions and applications), BrainWave (application prototyping) and Novell.
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